The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

With economic recovery and declining interest rates, the yield curve is becoming smoother and upward sloping — ...

SANTA ANA, Calif. — Consumers and corporate chieftains alike should check an economic flare the bond market sent up on Tuesday. Traders on Tuesday demanded higher yields on U.S. Treasury bonds ...

The 10-year yield is often used as a stand-in for mortgage rates and also shows how investors feel about the economy’s future ...

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Bond investors are buying longer-term maturities up to 10-year debt and ramping up bets on a steeper yield curve, anticipating that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this ...

The yield curve will reveal the bond market's confidence in how the U.S. is handling monetary policy Financial markets are weighing the risk that U.S. interest rates now will be based on political ...