High-frequency weekly indicators provide a timely “nowcast” of the economy, signaling changes before monthly or quarterly data is available. Long leading indicators are inching into neutral territory, ...
The 2s10s Treasury yield curve will continue its recent steepening and should leave inversion territory around the third quarter, according to Goldman Sachs. "Goldman Sachs economists and rates ...
The yield curve disinverted this week, suggesting an economic recession may be near. Historically, yield curve disinversions have preceded every economic recession since 1976. Investors are reacting ...
Aug 5 (Reuters) - A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve, a key bond market indicator of an upcoming recession, turned positive for the first time in two years, as concerns grew that ...
The bond market yield curve normalized on Wednesday morning for the second time in two years, marking the reversal of a classic recession indicator — but the economy isn’t out of the woods just yet.